Toothpick's Norwegian picks
Mainly picks from Norwegian soccer leagues.
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Sunday, August 01st, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (4 entries)
Pick:  Viking (-1.75)   Result: 0-0
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  2.01  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 30, 2010, 12:55




Sandefjord just sold their good goalkeeper Espen Bugge Pettersen to Molde, a sign of resignation? The replacement is not at the same level if Pettersen is not playing this match. Will not be easy for them here against Viking who wants to strike back after the horrible loss against Haugesund last weekend. Erik Nevland is back from Fulham and will give Viking even more offensive options. Should be an easy home win here.






Tromso - Ranheim    +4.56
Wednesday, July 07th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Under 3   Result: 0-2
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.14  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 07, 2010, 09:31




Tromsø are struggling a bit now after a fantastic start, not surprising as their team is not good enough to fight at the top of the league. Their play is based on a tight defense and scoring goals in coincidence. Goals are 10-3 in 8 matches at home this season. Goalscorer Rushfeldt is injured today and that will not help them to score more goals. Ranheim is fighting for promotion in Adeccoligaen, surprising after their promotion last year. They will probably be defensive minded here, and with Tromsø's tight defence they will not create a lot of chances. 1-0/2-0/2-1 looks probable.






Wednesday, July 07th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Stromgodset (-0.5)   Result: 3-0
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  1.97  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 07, 2010, 09:17




Two typical home teams. Strømsgodset with 6-0-2 at home, while Haugesund has 0-3-5 away. Haugesund have been struggling away for a long time, and particulary at artificial grass like today. They have very easy lost in both two artificial matches in Tippeligaen this year. Strømsgodset will get topscorer Pedersen back from suspension here, and should have a good chance to win this match.






Wednesday, July 07th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (2 entries)
Pick:  Rosenborg (-1.25)   Result: 1-4
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.04  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Canbet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 07, 2010, 09:11




These two teams met in Trondheim in the league Saturday. Sandefjord were very defensive then, but will be more offensive here at home. Rosenborg won 1-0 by a goal in the 85. minute. Just bad luck and margins was the reason why they struggle to score, because they had a lot of chances despite Sandefjord's defensive play. Rosenborg will create a lot of chances today as well, under interim coach Eggen they are a lot more offensive than earlier this season. Sandefjord are really struggling this season and it will be very difficult for them here. 0-2/0-3?






Wednesday, July 07th, 2010 12:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Vard Haugesund (+0.75)   Result: 2-0
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  2.08  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 07, 2010, 04:22




2.div avd 3

Randaberg are at the top of the table 9-1-2, a really big surprise. They have not been fantastic good, but have had luck in many matches. In the last round they were lucky to beat poor Fram Larvik 4-3 away. Vard easily beat a very weak Stavanger 4-0 at home in the last round. They have the mediocre stat 5-2-5 so far, but Randaberg should not be a very much better team. Randaberg did not impress in the matches before either.
Betsafe and Nordicbet, who should have ok knowledge, has 1,70 for regular home win, and Asia 1,78 for -0,75. Agree with those European bookies, too big favourite in Asia. -0,5 line looks more fair.







Wednesday, July 07th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Honefoss (+0.5)   Result: 1-5
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  1.80  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 06, 2010, 09:07




Odd Grenland have 5-6-4 and 25-25 in Tippeligaen so far, indicating that they are a very mediocre team, which is not far from the truth. Hønefoss with six losses in the start of the season, 3-3-3 on the last nine now after changing the coach. Wonder why this mediocre Odd Grenland team is -0,5 favorite away, it's wrong in a very open match.






Sunday, July 04th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Stromgodset (+0)   Result: 1-1
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.62  Verified odd Bookmaker:  William Hill   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 04, 2010, 07:33




Hønefoss improved a lot in the second quarter of the season after a horrible start. They have had some doubtful players in front of this match, but most of them will play. They won away against Sarpsborg 08 in the cup on Wednesday, not very deserved said the reports. They equalized in the last minute of regular time and finally won after penalties. Strømsgodset are lousy away from home, but will have one of the best chances for points here. They managed a draw against Haugesund, and have lost their other five away matches, all against much better teams than Hønefoss. They have some important offensive players absent, but they still have other good players in attack that can make trouble. Hønefoss with 120 minutes on Wednesday, and I think this local derby is more open than the odds suggest. Market overreaction again.






Sunday, July 04th, 2010 11:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (2 entries)
Pick:  Start (+0.5)   Result: 4-2
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  1.97  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jul 04, 2010, 07:04




Haugesund have a nice home record this season, 4-2-0. They have beaten the three bottom teams at the table, and Aalesund. Draw against away-weak Strømsgodset and top team Rosenborg. Their pitch has been very poor, should be much better now after the break and that should be no advantage for Haugesund. Start had some doubtful players in front of this match, but will field an ok team. The most important thing for them is that Clarence Goodson is back after the World Cup, a major strengthening for Start. Start is a better team than most of the teams Haugesund have beaten at home, so I only think Haugesund should be a short favorite in this match. A market overreaction here, opening odds was not very far from fair.






Sunday, June 15th, 2008 12:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Raufoss (-1)   Result: 2-2
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  2.00  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jun 15, 2008, 05:09




2. divisjon avdeling 1

Raufoss was relegated last year due to financial and infrastructural problems. They still have a very good first team, but not that many good replacements. Have had some injuries in the start of the season and have struggled a lot. At home they have not lost, but all four have been. Sprint-Jeloy is a ok team I 2. division, but avdeling 1 is the best of the groups so they will probably fight hard to avoid relegation. Typical home team, all three matches away are lost. Raufoss won 2-0 against Lorenskog in the last, a team that is number two at the table and was without a loss until then. I think Raufoss are coming in the correct track now and showing that they are one of the best 2. division teams, and I expect them to climb up to around 5th place in the end, while Sprint will fight hard in the bottom. This should end in a home win, I think 1,5 is the correct line here.







Wednesday, June 04th, 2008 12:00
Football - Norway
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Pors Grenland   Result: 3-3
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  4.50  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Globet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Jun 04, 2008, 04:51




Cup

Pors Grenland is an ok team in 2.division this year, normally strong at their artificial pitch who’s not the best. They have some high quality players, but too many youngsters around them to fight in the absolute top. Lost 0-4 against Asker in the last though, typical for Pors that they let many goals in if they first have conceded a couple. No major concerns around the team.

Honefoss are much better this year than the last. Changed the coach and that helped a lot. Midfielder Bangura from Sierra Leone has finally got a breakthrough, together in midfield with Estonian new signing Dmitrijev. Both are staying with their national team today. Comet right winger Seeberg and striker Konate are injured, and striker Saaliti is suspended.

Honefoss will play without clearly the two best midfielders and two of the three best strikers today. The replacements are far from the same level. Home strong Pors should at least have 25% to win this.






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Win-Loss-Void: 47-45-6 
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